【新闻摘要】
加拿大总理卡尼硬刚特朗普："宁可不签协议，也绝不当冤大头！"随着8月1日关税大限临近，美国进口商们瑟瑟发抖——若达不成协议，加拿大商品将面临35%的重税。卡尼在安大略放狠话："我们可不是不惜代价求签约的主儿"，顺手就掏出了保护铝业和木材业的两把斧头。要知道加拿大四分之三商品都卖给美国，从金属木材到汽车药品应有尽有，去年美国就从这位北方邻居那进口了4120亿美元货物。最搞笑的是特朗普的关税理由：一边说"要重振美国制造业"，一边又扯"遏制芬太尼走私"——然而海关数据显示，美加边境查获的芬太尼只占全美0.2%，这锅甩得比北极熊扔雪球还离谱！
---
**Canada PM vows to reject 'bad deal' as US tariff deadline looms**
加拿大总理誓言拒绝"糟糕协议" 美国关税截止日逼近
**4 hours ago Share Save Laura Bicker BBC News, Ottawa Share Save**
4小时前 分享 保存 BBC记者劳拉·比克 渥太华报道 分享 保存
**Getty Images**
Getty Images
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has drawn a red line in trade talks with the US, declaring his nation"will not accept a bad deal" simply to avoid President Donald Trump's threatened tariffs. With an August 1 deadline approaching before new US levies take effect, Mr Carney told reporters in Ontario that Canada would prioritize its economic interests over haste."Our objective is not to reach a deal whatever it costs," he said, signaling readiness to walk away if terms are unfavorable.
加拿大总理马克·卡尼为美加贸易谈判划出红线，宣称绝不会为避免特朗普威胁的关税而接受"糟糕协议"。随着美国新关税8月1日生效期限临近，卡尼在安大略省向记者表示加拿大将把经济利益置于速度之上。"我们的目标不是不计代价达成协议，"他暗示若条款不利已做好退出准备。
The warning comes as US importers face a potential 35% tax on Canadian goods absent an agreement. Trump has already imposed 25% tariffs on select Canadian products and 50% on aluminum and steel imports, arguing these measures will revive US manufacturing. But economists warn the costs will ultimately fall on American consumers through higher prices. Mr Carney said he would shield Canada's aluminum and lumber sectors - which employ over 200,000 workers - through countermeasures if needed.
此番警告发出之际，美国进口商面临若无协议将对加商品征收35%关税的风险。特朗普已对部分加拿大产品征收25%关税，并对铝钢进口课以50%重税，称此举将重振美国制造业。但经济学家警告成本终将通过涨价转嫁给美国消费者。卡尼表示必要时将通过反制措施保护雇佣逾20万人的铝业和木材业。
**Economic chess game**
经济棋局
Canada exports about 75% of its goods to the US, including $412bn worth in 2024 across metals, lumber, oil, vehicles and pharmaceuticals. The Office of the US Trade Representative notes America exported $350bn to Canada last year, making the neighbors each other's largest trading partners. This interdependence gives Mr Carney some leverage, but also makes Canada vulnerable to US pressure.
加拿大约75%商品出口美国，2024年包括金属、木材、石油、车辆和药品等价值4120亿美元货物。美国贸易代表办公室数据显示去年美对加出口3500亿美元，使两国成为彼此最大贸易伙伴。这种相互依存给了卡尼一定筹码，也使加拿大易受美国施压影响。
"The full effect of US tariffs is still unfolding," Mr Carney told provincial leaders, hinting at possible further protective measures. He previously announced retaliatory steel tariffs and supports for affected industries."We'll see other needs emerge in coming months," he added, without elaborating. Analysts speculate these could include export diversification strategies or WTO challenges.
"美国关税的全面影响仍在显现，"卡尼向各省领导人表示，暗示可能采取更多保护措施。他此前宣布了报复性钢铁关税和对受影响行业的支持。"未来几个月将看到其他需求浮现，"他补充道但未详述。分析人士推测可能包括出口多元化战略或WTO诉讼。
**Trump's tariff rationale**
特朗普的关税逻辑
The US president has justified tariffs as both economic policy and national security tools. Beyond alleging unfair trade practices, Trump claims the measures pressure neighbors to stem fentanyl smuggling - though US Customs data shows just 0.2% of seized fentanyl enters via Canada, versus 99.8% from Mexico. Critics call this pretextual, noting Trump's recent deals with Japan (15% auto tariffs) and the Philippines (19% general tariffs) maintain elevated rates.
美国总统将关税辩护为经济政策和国家安全工具。除指控不公平贸易行为外，特朗普声称这些措施施压邻国遏制芬太尼走私——尽管美海关数据显示仅0.2%的查获芬太尼经加拿大入境，99.8%来自墨西哥。批评者称这是借口，指出特朗普近期与日本（15%汽车关税）和菲律宾（19%一般关税）的协议仍维持高税率。
**Reuters**
路透社
Tuesday saw the White House announce a Philippine deal with tariffs higher than initially proposed but below Trump's maximum threats - a pattern observers say Canada should expect."Trump negotiates by oscillating between extremes," said trade expert Lori Wallach."The art is finding the least bad option." For Mr Carney, that may mean accepting some tariffs while protecting core industries. As the deadline nears, both sides are posturing - but with Canada's economy more exposed, the pressure is mounting.
周二白宫宣布的菲律宾协议关税高于最初提议但低于特朗普最大威胁——观察家称加拿大应预期这种模式。"特朗普通过两极摇摆谈判，"贸易专家洛丽·沃拉克说，"艺术在于找到最不坏的选项。"对卡尼而言，这可能意味着在保护核心产业同时接受部分关税。随着截止日临近，双方都在摆姿态——但由于加拿大经济更脆弱，压力正加大。
**What's at stake**
利害攸关
Sector | Canadian exports to US (2024) | US tariff threat
行业 | 加拿大对美出口额(2024) | 美国关税威胁
Aluminum | $12.7bn | 50%
铝业 | 127亿美元 | 50%
Lumber | $8.4bn | 25%
木材 | 84亿美元 | 25%
Autos | $58.9bn | 35%
汽车 | 589亿美元 | 35%
"The numbers speak for themselves," said Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters CEO Dennis Darby."We're talking about industries that support hundreds of thousands of families." With talks continuing this week, all eyes are on whether Trump's"America First" mantra will collide with Carney's"Canada First" stance. As one Ottawa official quipped:"This isn't just trade - it's a test of whose political will breaks first."
"数字说明一切，"加拿大制造商与出口商协会CEO丹尼斯·达比说。"我们谈论的是支撑数十万家庭的行业。"随着本周谈判继续，所有人都在关注特朗普的"美国优先"口号是否会与卡尼的"加拿大优先"立场冲突。正如一位渥太华官员打趣道："这不只是贸易——更是谁的政治意志先崩溃的考验。"
